Ask AI when the cherry trees will bloom
In Japan, the delicate blossoms of the cherry tree bear the weight of a storied history and a $9-billion tourism industry. For a few days every year, millions of people — Japanese and visitors — gather in gardens and parks around the country to contemplate the brief beauty of the sakura. The stakes are high, hinging on a deceptively simple question: When will the flowers bloom? As the long-established system of answering this question, determined by weather reports, is destabilised by climate change, forecasters increasingly depend on artificial intelligence to honour the tradition of hanami, or flower viewing.
Perhaps there is something ironic about attempting to pin down a tradition, the essence of which is an acknowledgement -— and celebration — of evanescence. The 72 micro-seasons (shichijuni ko) into which the Japanese calendar was once divided invited a more intimate relationship with the world, based on subtle changes in nature. Seasons like “fish emerge from the ice” (mid-February) and “crickets chirp around the door” (late October), determined the farmer’s crop calendar and inspired poets. They governed the fine variations in how tea was prepared from one week to the next and influenced how a garden evolved over the course of a year. Today, Japan may follow the Gregorian calendar like the rest of the world, but sensibilities — aesthetic and cultural — continue to be shaped by an older rhythm.
“This is the real pleasure/ of this life without tomorrow/ The flowers, the sake,” wrote the 19th century haiku master, Inoue Seigetsu. Today, when time is increasingly measured by the beeps of devices and app notifications, rituals like the hanami are a portal into a world where time marches to a slower beat. And if the most cutting-edge technology can open that door a little wider, a little more reliably, so be it.
- 1Climate change significantly impacts natural cycles, as evidenced by the altered blooming patterns of Japan's cherry trees, threatening the hanami tradition. The increasing reliance on artificial intelligence for accurate forecasting demonstrates technology's crucial role in adapting to environmental shifts and preserving cultural practices amidst global warming. This highlights the urgent need for climate action and innovative scientific solutions.
- 2Japan's $9-billion cherry blossom tourism industry illustrates the substantial economic and social value tied to natural phenomena and cultural events. Climate change-induced unpredictability jeopardizes this sector, compelling the adoption of AI to maintain the hanami tradition and its associated economic benefits for local livelihoods and national revenue, showcasing the intersection of culture, economy, and environmental vulnerability.
- 3Governments globally grapple with formulating policies that address climate change's impact on cultural heritage and economic sectors, like Japan's cherry blossom tourism. The adoption of AI for forecasting reflects a governance strategy to mitigate climate risks and preserve traditions, requiring robust policy frameworks for climate adaptation, cultural protection, and responsible technological integration to ensure societal resilience.
- 4The increasing reliance on AI for forecasting, as seen with Japan's cherry blossoms, highlights the emerging need for legal frameworks governing artificial intelligence. While not directly covered by the Bharatiya Nyaya Sanhita (BNS) or Bharatiya Nagarik Suraksha Sanhita (BNSS), future Indian legislation might address data privacy, algorithmic transparency, and accountability for AI-driven predictions, especially if they impact public life or economic sectors. This signifies a developing area of law.
