With Viktor Orbán’s defeat, a liberal right victory in Hungary
In 2016, two events were seen as cataclysmic for liberal politics and the international order: Donald Trump became US president for the first time, and Britons voted to leave the European Union. The trend of democracies turning “illiberal” in their founding states had echoes across continents, perhaps most starkly in Hungary and the figure of Viktor Orbán. Earlier this week, after 16 years as prime minister, Orbán was routed in the elections. His Fidesz party is reduced to just 55 seats in the country’s 199-seat parliament, despite gerrymandering and control over state media. Orbán, a poster boy for the global far-right movement — characterised by, among other things, a lack of respect for democratic institutions and undisguised xenophobia — had the backing of MAGA leaders, including Trump and J D Vance. His defeat, however, has not come from the left-liberals. It marks the return of a liberal right.
Prime Minister-elect Péter Magyar is a former Fidesz member who campaigned on an anti-corruption platform. He also spoke of restoring the independence of institutions. Unlike Orbán, he has a pro-EU stance on crucial economic and policy issues, including Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. On immigration, he appears to see the value of compromise, and does not speak in the language of prejudice.
Since the rise of populist leaders in several democracies, hours of airtime and reams of newsprint have been spent discussing how liberalism can find its way back. Magyar’s victory is now an important part of that conversation. The responsibility of protecting institutions does not lie only with the so-called “left”. A right-wing politics that does not see victory as conquest, that fights to uphold the rules and structures of democratic politics, can resonate with voters as well.
- 1The defeat of Viktor Orbán's Fidesz party in Hungary highlights the global challenge of 'illiberal democracies,' where elected leaders undermine institutions. Péter Magyar's victory, centered on restoring institutional independence and fighting corruption, underscores the critical role of checks and balances. This scenario is relevant for understanding the separation of powers and the importance of an independent judiciary and media in a constitutional framework.
- 2Hungary's election signals a significant shift in its international relations, particularly concerning the European Union. While Viktor Orbán's government often clashed with Brussels, Prime Minister-elect Péter Magyar's pro-EU stance on issues like the Russia-Ukraine conflict suggests a realignment. This change could impact EU cohesion and its collective foreign policy, demonstrating how domestic electoral outcomes directly influence a nation's diplomatic posture.
- 3The rise of leaders like Viktor Orbán, characterized by xenophobia, raises legal questions about hate speech. In India, while Article 19(1)(a) of the Constitution guarantees freedom of expression, it is not absolute. Promoting enmity between groups on grounds of religion or race is a punishable offence under Section 153A of the Bharatiya Nyaya Sanhita (BNS), balancing free speech with the need for public order.
- 4Péter Magyar's victory in Hungary, driven by an anti-corruption platform, highlights the significant socio-economic impact of governance. His pro-EU stance suggests a move towards greater economic integration, contrasting with Orbán's nationalist policies and potentially affecting trade and investment. This demonstrates how voter concerns over corruption and economic stability can override divisive social issues like xenophobia, reshaping a nation's economic trajectory.
