The Delhi-Dhaka thaw is welcome. It must be built on
In the Indian Subcontinent, a perceived “big brother” attitude vis a vis smaller neighbours is often a problem, and must be addressed through patient diplomatic engagement and the promise of tangible gains from the relationship. For the better part of two decades, until the ouster of former Bangladesh prime minister Sheikh Hasina on August 4, 2024, Delhi and Dhaka had arguably the most consequential relationship in the region. The chill in ties that accompanied the regime change in Bangladesh, then, was a major cause for worry. However, recent moves from both sides — most recently, the announcement that India would resume issuing tourist visas at pre-2024 levels — show that a much-needed thaw is underway. This must be built on. The trust deficit between the two countries came to the fore almost immediately after the Muhammad Yunus -led interim government took charge. New Delhi expressed concern at the attacks on Awami League supporters, and on those belonging to the minority community. Measures like the withdrawal of transshipment facilities for Bangladesh’s export cargo earlier this year would have worried Dhaka. With the benefit of hindsight, India did not do enough to send the message that the value of the bilateral relationship did not depend on which party held sway in Dhaka. It rests, instead, on the deep affinities between the people of both countries. Fortunately, since the elevation of Tarique Rahman as PM, both sides have made efforts to correct the course. Meetings between leaders, including between PM Rahman and India’s External Affairs Minister S Jaishankar, have sent out a positive message. As has India’s supply of fuel to its neighbour during the West Asia crisis. Whether in bodies like the BIMSTEC, or for India’s larger ambitions in the Indian Ocean Region or its Act East policy, Dhaka remains an essential partner. Equally, Bangladesh cannot wish away the geographical and economic reality of its larger neighbour. On river-water sharing, the 4,000-km land border, power and a host of other issues, the two countries have much to gain through cooperation. For this potential to be realised, both must sidestep the rhetoric of short-term politics.
- 1India-Bangladesh relations are deeply shaped by Article 51 of the Indian Constitution, which directs the State to promote international peace and foster respect for international law and treaty obligations. The 1972 Treaty of Friendship, Cooperation and Peace between India and Bangladesh, the Ganga Waters Treaty of 1996, and the Land Boundary Agreement of 2015 — ratified by constitutional amendment — form the legal bedrock of the relationship. India's obligations under these instruments survive changes in Dhaka's government, and courts have historically treated treaty commitments as guiding executive foreign policy discretion.
- 2Bangladesh's strategic location makes it indispensable to India's Act East Policy and the BIMSTEC framework. BIMSTEC, headquartered in Dhaka, connects South and Southeast Asia and gained new salience at the 2022 Colombo Summit, where leaders endorsed a BIMSTEC Charter. For India, Bangladesh provides the shortest land-route access to the North-East via the Siliguri Corridor and serves as a gateway to Myanmar and ASEAN markets — making Dhaka's goodwill a structural necessity, not merely a diplomatic nicety.
- 3The withdrawal of transshipment facilities for Bangladesh's exports invokes the World Trade Organization's Agreement on Trade Facilitation (TFC), which India ratified in 2016. Unilateral withdrawal of such facilities can raise disputes under the WTO's dispute settlement mechanism. Domestically, the Foreign Trade (Development and Regulation) Act, 1992, empowers the Government of India to regulate trade, but use of trade as diplomatic coercion risks reputational costs at multilateral fora where India projects itself as a champion of the Global South.
- 4India and Bangladesh share 54 common rivers, with the Teesta water-sharing agreement remaining the most contentious unresolved bilateral issue since the failed 2011 draft treaty. Economically, Bangladesh is India's largest trade partner in South Asia, with bilateral trade exceeding USD 14 billion in 2022-23, and is the third-largest destination for Indian exports in Asia. India's foreign direct investment in Bangladesh spans garments, power, and telecommunications — making economic interdependence a powerful argument for sustained diplomatic engagement regardless of political cycles in Dhaka.
