Lost and found: On the 2026 Assembly elections
The results of the 2026 Assembly elections in
West Bengal,
Tamil Nadu,
Puducherry highlight several factors that have a bearing on India’s direction as a secular, democratic, federal republic. In Assam and Puducherry, the BJP and its partners retained power, while in the other three States, incumbents were swept away in a strong current of changed popular opinion. In Assam, for the first time, the BJP crossed the halfway mark of 64 seats on its own and, with its partners, won 101 seats in the 126-member Assembly. For the Congress, this is its worst performance — even lower than its 1985 tally in the aftermath of the Assam Agitation. The regional outfits that were part of the Congress-led alliance, including the Raijor Dal and Assam Jatiya Parishad, were routed, while those within the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) — chiefly the Asom Gana Parishad and the Bodoland People’s Front — managed to win a few seats, though they now have little clout given the BJP’s outright majority. Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma has reinforced his position in the State through a mix of polarising communal rhetoric and redistribution schemes. Congress leader Gaurav Gogoi lost his own seat.
In West Bengal, the BJP has achieved a decisive victory through long-term planning, aided by the State’s political history, a tainted election process, and the exhaustion of the Trinamool Congress (TMC)’s politics that had run its course. Bengal has been home to India’s national movement and to Hindutva ideas long before they spread elsewhere, and has carried a strong sense of regional identity. The BJP, through years of meticulous organisation, converted a threshold population of the State to its totalising nationalist narrative. Having subsumed the regional politics of Maharashtra, Assam and Odisha, it had set its sights on West Bengal with obsessive determination, and has won. The TMC faces existential danger, with its founder-leader Mamata Banerjee at 71 and its cadre and voters now susceptible to pressure from the BJP. This election was also the most tainted in India’s elections: around 27 lakh people were arbitrarily removed from the electoral rolls, and the Supreme Court of India took an unhelpful view of that grave assault on the fundamentals of democracy. If that is the sign of things to come, it is cause for serious concern.
- 1The 2026 Assembly elections highlight a significant shift in India’s federal structure, with the BJP securing 101 seats in Assam’s 126-member assembly and decisively winning West Bengal. This consolidation, mirroring its strategy in Maharashtra and Odisha, indicates increasing centralization of political power and weakening of regional parties. The "grave assault on the fundamentals of democracy" in West Bengal, due to 27 lakh arbitrary removals, raises serious constitutional concerns about election integrity.
- 2The provided article focuses exclusively on the domestic outcomes and implications of the 2026 Assembly elections across five Indian states and one Union Territory. Consequently, it does not contain any information or analysis pertaining to India's international relations, foreign policy decisions, or global diplomatic engagements. State-level elections, while nationally significant, typically address internal governance, socio-economic issues, and political power dynamics rather than external affairs.
- 3The 2026 West Bengal Assembly elections exposed severe legal and regulatory failings through a "tainted election process," with approximately 27 lakh people arbitrarily removed from electoral rolls. This action represents a "grave assault on the fundamentals of democracy," directly undermining the regulatory framework ensuring free and fair elections and voter rights. The Supreme Court of India's "unhelpful view" on this matter raises significant concerns about judicial oversight in upholding electoral integrity and constitutional principles.
- 4The 2026 Assembly elections highlight the potent interplay of social divisions and welfare economics in shaping political outcomes. Himanta Biswa Sarma reinforced his position in Assam through "polarising communal rhetoric and redistribution schemes," directly influencing the electorate. In West Bengal, the BJP successfully converted a "threshold population" to its "totalising nationalist narrative," demonstrating how identity politics and long-term social organization profoundly influence voter behavior and the social fabric.
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